Seattle under Flood Watch as rare June back-to-back atmospheric river storms take aim at Pacific Northwest (2024)

Seattle under Flood Watch as rare June back-to-back atmospheric river storms take aim at Pacific Northwest (1)

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Atmospheric river to slam Seattle, Portland metros with steady rain

Flood alerts are in effect in the Northwest as rare June atmospheric river storms are set to slam the region starting Sunday. FOX 13 Seattle Meteorologist Abby Acone joined FOX Weather on Sunday to provide more details on the upcoming messy weather as we start the new workweek.

SEATTLE Meteorological summer begins in the Pacific Northwest this year with a time warp back to winter as rare back-to-back atmospheric river-type storms sweep through the region to kick off the new week.

The storms are being fueled by the remnants of a former tropical storm in the Western Pacific Ocean. With deep tropical moisture available, the storm has a promising potential for record rainfall and even pushes some rivers to near flood stage.

"I heard June-uary is coming!" the National Weather Service in Seattle posted on X.

Wet weather began Sunday as the first of two potent storms brings waves of heavy precipitation, reminiscent of a winter-type rainstorm, rather than the dry weather that would usually kick off the start of meteorological summer.

WHAT IS AN ATMOSPHERIC RIVER?

Seattle under Flood Watch as rare June back-to-back atmospheric river storms take aim at Pacific Northwest (2)


Rain increased in intensity across the Northwest on Sunday afternoon, with drenching rains continuing into Monday morning as the first atmospheric river storm heads inland from the Pacific Ocean.

After a brief lull later Monday, a second atmospheric river storm will push through the region from Tuesday into Wednesday with additional rain. Both systems will tap into subtropical moisture, and the latter storm may even harvest some moisture from the remnants of a typhoon that had been in the Western Pacific earlier this week.

Some computer forecast model projections indicate the atmospheric river storms could reach a level 4 out of 5 on the Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes scale, which would only be the fifth time a level 4 storm has reached the region in June since 1959.

WHAT DOES A 'CATEGORY 4' ATMOSPHERIC RIVER MEAN? SCALE AIMS TO RATE NATURE'S LARGEST SOAKERS

Flood Watch is in effect for Seattle area

About 1-2 inches of rain is likely around the Seattle and Puget Sound region. While that might not seem unusual for an area known for its rainfall, heavy rain is rare in June – Seattle only averages 1.45 inches for the entire month.

Up to 3-5 inches is likely in the Cascades and Olympic Mountains, with some isolated areas seeing up to 6 inches of rain. Those amounts could push several area rivers up to, or perhaps even a little over, flood stage, the National Weather Service warned.

THESE ARE THE RAINIEST HOUR AND MINUTE IN AMERICAN HISTORY

Seattle under Flood Watch as rare June back-to-back atmospheric river storms take aim at Pacific Northwest (3)


A rare June Flood Watch is now in effect for the greater Puget Sound region, including the Seattle metro area. It's only the fourth time a Flood Watch has been issued by the NWS office in Seattle in June since 2006.

Seattle under Flood Watch as rare June back-to-back atmospheric river storms take aim at Pacific Northwest (4)


Rivers, creeks and streams could flood even in urban areas, while the Snoqualmie River, one of the larger river systems in the Puget Sound area, may even reach minor flood stage, forecasters warned.

"The flood stage for the Snoqualmie (River) at Carnation is 54.0 feet," NWS Seattle Meteorologist Dana Felton said on Saturday. "The forecast is for the river to crest right at flood stage. The Snoqualmie at Carnation has never been above 52.5 feet this time of the year."

At those river levels, much of the farmland and several roads may flood, NOAA says.

Very wet in the Willamette Valley and western Oregon, too

A similar soggy forecast is in store for northwestern Oregon, where the Portland and western Oregon lowlands could see 1-3 inches of rain, with 2-5 inches or more across the mountains. Like Seattle, Portland averages just around 1.5 inches of rain for all of June.

Seattle under Flood Watch as rare June back-to-back atmospheric river storms take aim at Pacific Northwest (5)


"Probabilistic river guidance shows less than a 5% chance of any of our mainstem rivers flooding due to this event," the NWS office in Portland said in its Sunday morning discussion. "There will be significant rises on some, but flooding is not anticipated. While mainstem rivers are not expected to flood, smaller creeks and streams may be a different story, especially in recently burned areas."

The NWS said there may also be debris flows in recently burned areas due to heavy rain.

Other impacts include issues with agriculture and crops planted in the floodplains, regional road construction projects that have already begun assuming we're outside the rainy season, and increased dangers to outdoor recreation such as hiking, climbing and kayaking, due to heavy rain and gusty winds.

Big shift to hot and dry pattern days later?

But the winter throwback could take a radical shift into summer by the end of this week in the Northwest.

METEOROLOGICAL SUMMER BEGINS WITH HEAT ALERTS IN WEST FOR TRIPLE-DIGIT HEAT

Some long-range forecasts are suggesting a rapid change in the weather pattern, bringing in the potential for much hotter weather as a strong ridge of high pressure builds into the region.

Seattle under Flood Watch as rare June back-to-back atmospheric river storms take aim at Pacific Northwest (2024)

FAQs

In what months does the Pacific Northwest experience the most frequent atmospheric rivers? ›

Atmospheric Rivers are common during the Fall and Winter months, even into the Spring but are less common this late into the year. ARs are rated on a scale of 1 to 5 and this week's AR was a level 3. In addition to the rainfall will be gusty winds, over the highest peaks upwards of 70 mph.

How long will the atmospheric river last? ›

The average lifecycle of an atmospheric river is between three to seven days, Cordeira said. What usually stops it is rain. "Things that remove water vapor from the sky will cause an atmospheric river to die," Cordeira said. Once the river hits land, it usually rains itself out in about a day, he added.

What is an atmospheric river and what does it mean for the state in the days ahead? ›

The storm was driven largely by an "atmospheric river" over California. ( Although atmospheric rivers come in many shapes and sizes, those that contain the largest amounts of water vapor and the strongest winds can create extreme rainfall and floods, often by stalling over watersheds vulnerable to flooding.

How much water can an atmospheric river carry? ›

The strongest atmospheric rivers can move anywhere between seven and 25 times as much water as the flow of the Mississippi River, which is the second longest river in North America and has a watershed that reaches 32 states, according to the national park service.

What is the rainiest month in the Pacific Northwest? ›

Quick Climate Info
Coldest MonthDecember (36 °F avg)
Wettest MonthNovember (2.09" avg)
Windiest MonthMarch (14 mph avg)
Annual precip.16.29" (per year)
1 more row

What is a Category 5 atmospheric river? ›

Category 5 (exceptional): A Category 5 atmospheric river is primarily hazardous. The USGS gives the example of an atmospheric river that lasted over 100 hours over the Central California coast during the 1996-97 New Year's holiday period. The heavy rain and runoff caused over $100 billion in damage.

What was the worst storm in California history? ›

The Great Storm of 1861-1862, often referred to as the Great Flood of 1862, was a series of intense storms that battered California for several weeks.

When was the last time California was underwater? ›

64 Scientific American, drowned: A 43-day atmospheric-river storm in 1861 turned California's Central Valley region into an inland sea, simulated here on a current-day map. the Pacific Ocean began to pound central California on Christmas Eve in 1861 and continued virtually unabated for 43 days.

Why is California getting so many atmospheric rivers? ›

California is ideally located for atmospheric rivers, as extratropical cyclones formed over the North Pacific Ocean can tap into warm tropical air and, when positioned right, transport a large amount of water vapor from the tropics to the California coast.

Why are back-to-back atmospheric rivers a high flood risk? ›

Consecutive atmospheric rivers, known as AR families, can cause significant flooding. The first heavy downpours saturate the ground. As consecutive storms arrive, their precipitation falls on soil that can't absorb more water. That contributes to more runoff.

How rare is an atmospheric river? ›

Atmospheric rivers are fairly common in winter in the Western United States. In fact, just a few atmospheric river events each year cause up to half of the annual precipitation on the West Coast. These dumps of rain and snow from atmospheric rivers are an important source of fresh water for the West Coast.

What states are affected by atmospheric river? ›

The deep low pressure system driving the atmospheric river also generated historically large and powerful waves along the west coast from Washington to California.

When was the last time California had an atmospheric river? ›

California may have endured an onslaught of tropically-infused atmospheric river storms that filled the calendar for months at the end of 2022 and the start of 2023 and is staring at another atmospheric river this weekend, but those storms pale in comparison to the historic floods during the winter of 1861-1862.

Can you fly through an atmospheric river? ›

Each of these aircraft are outfitted to fly into and above intense weather to collect huge amounts of meteorological data. The primary way the aircraft collect these data is by dropping about thirty cylindrical instruments called dropsondes into the atmospheric river in each flight.

What river carry the most water? ›

Quick Facts: The Amazon River in South America is the largest river by discharge volume of water in the world, and by some definitions it is the longest. The portion of the river's drainage basin in Brazil alone is larger than any other river's basin.

What months do atmospheric rivers occur? ›

Atmospheric rivers primarily occur during winter of the respective hemisphere (i.e., December, January, and February for the northern hemisphere and June, July, and August for the southern hemisphere) when extratropical cyclones are most prevalent.

Where are atmospheric rivers most common? ›

Typically, the Oregon coast averages one Cat 4 atmospheric river (AR) each year; Washington state averages one Cat 4 AR every two years; the San Francisco Bay Area averages one Cat 4 AR every three years; and southern California, which typically experiences one Cat 2 or Cat 3 AR each year, averages one Cat 4 AR every ...

What is the atmospheric river in the Pacific? ›

Prior to that, the most famous atmospheric river in the northern hemisphere was often referred to as the “Pineapple Express” or “Chinook Winds,” and is still referred to that way. This particular atmospheric river pattern brings water from near Hawaii to the west coast of North America.

During which months does most of the precipitation fall in the western United States? ›

As can be seen in Figure 1, about half the annual precipitation total arrives in the three-month period from December through February and 90% of the annual precipitation falls between October 1 and April 30. During this time period, winter storms come off the Pacific Ocean delivering rain and snow to California.

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